February 06, 2008

Super Tuesday Postmortem: Colorado Caucus Results

Update (1:30 pm)--Note to Sen. McCain-telling conservatives to "calm down" is no way to build bridges with GOPers like those in Colorado ready to bolt from the party or simply sit on their hands

Update (1:00 pm)--Eye-rolling "Dems are nonpartisan, Republicans are conservative" caucus analysis of the day:
"Obama's that creative-society, nonpartisan, new-advocate-for-change Democrat that we like here," said Denver pollster Floyd Ciruli, pointing to former Colorado Sen. Gary Hart, Sen. Ken Salazar and Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper.

Mitt Romney's win over John McCain, on the other hand, showed that Republicans were backing conservative, core-party values over more moderate views.
Update (12:00 pm)--Ben DeGrow links to the "trust but verify" scenarios that will offer McCain perhaps his only chance at mending fences with conservatives; more observations of "barely organized chaos" from Roger Fraley; Dem blogger Wash Park Prophet sees Democrat enthusiasm as providing coattails for Mark Udall and other Dem candidates this fall

Update (7:00 am)--voter turnout percentage, based on voter registration for each party and the closed caucus rules-13.6% of Democrats caucused vs. 6.4% of Republicans

Update (3:30 am)--record turnout in Colorado-8x for Democrats (120,000 in 2008 vs. 15,000 in 2004) and 65,000 Republicans

Initial thoughts--despite his Super Tuesday success, here are the image problems in a nutshell John McCain will face in the coming months in his quest to court conservatives in the GOP base (via the awesome Michael Ramirez):



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Super Tuesday Colorado Caucus Results

**Update 2--Super Tuesday Postmortem: Colorado Caucus Results

**Update--welcome Michelle Malkin readers, scroll for Colorado results and plenty of background links below . . .

MSM coverage: 9NEWS--7NEWS--CBS4--Rocky Mountain News--Denver Post

Update (12:45 am)--Colorado election fundraising numbers for Dems, GOP

Update (11:45 pm)--The Drunkablog provides tonight's (only?) LOL caucus moment
Joshua Sharf--Denver GOP misses a chance to educate and engage Republicans with caucus disorganization

Update (10:45 pm)--Romney, Obama declared winners
Final look at the unofficial numbers:
Obama 66%-Clinton 33% (98% reporting)
Romney 60%-McCain 19%-Huckabee 13% (68% reporting)

Update (10:30 pm)--videos from around the state-Dem/GOP HQ, Bob Schaffer/Mark Udall

Update (10:15 pm)--Ben DeGrow and Steven Nielson report from their caucuses on turnout, votes

Update (10:00 pm)--complete county-by-county results for Colorado

Update (9:45 pm)--Romney looking to the Mountain West for help

Update (9:40 pm)--CNN:
D--Obama declared winner with 64% (45% reporting)
R--Romney leads McCain 54-22% (20% reporting), should be declared winner soon

Update (9:15 pm)--CNN:
Democrats--Obama 65%-Clinton 34% (29% reporting)
Republicans--Romney 49%, McCain 25%, Huckabee 18%, Paul 7% (8% reporting)

Update (8:45 pm)--CNN has a running tab of returns for Colorado
Colorado GOP is also updating numbers by county
Hot Air has state-by-state winners

Update (8:40 pm)--
First numbers from the parties are in
:
Early numbers from the Colorado Democratic Party showed Obama with a 2 to 1 margin over Sen. Hillary Clinton with less than 10 percent of precincts reporting.

Numbers from the Colorado Republican Party showed Romney had a 10 percent lead over Sen. John McCain and former Gov. Mike Huckabee with only a fraction of precincts reporting.
Update (7:30 pm)--precinct voted 5-1 Romney over McCain.

Candidate speeches were short but heated; Ron Paul supporters vociferous, attack Iraq War to much derision; elected delegate for precinct 409 to Denver County assembly; general mood subdued

9NEWS--overwhelming, overflow crowds at most Denver-area locations

Caucus update from Denver County GOP District 4 (6:42 pm)--
Arrived at Lake Middle School--home to both Republican and Democrat
caucuses. So far only Dem signs directing voters--GOP voter
suppression? (j/k)

Many, many more people (probably 4x at least 6 or 7x) than in 2006, and still 20
minutes to caucus kickoff.

Lots of Ron Paul supporters . . . stay tuned . . .



Even as results from the East coast and Midwest roll in, Coloradans are waiting to contribute their two cents in the Super Tuesday caucus.

Some thoughts going into tonight:
With other states having already completed their caucus/primaries, or with exit polling data available, how does an Obama victory in Georgia or an unexpected Huckabee win in West Virginia influence Colorado voters, who haven't even left their houses yet?

How does Colorado's Latino vote influence the Clinton/Obama battle?

And for those who are disaffected/disillusioned by the current GOP field, here's what the Colorado Democrats have in store for their caucus platforms.

An update on a story posted earlier
--looks like Denver Post and Rocky Mountain News journalists will be allowed to participate in their caucuses after all (and as a result of some legal questioning), but will be limited in their election coverage so as to maintain some semblance of journalistic "objectivity".

Note--Colorado's caucuses are non-binding:
At stake in Colorado are 43 Republican and 55 Democratic delegates selected through the caucuses. The caucuses are nonbinding and Colorado voters won't select the delegates until the major parties have their conventions in May.

However, Tuesday's straw polls in Colorado were considered crucial because the final delegates will be selected through that process and it gives political momentum to the winners.
Look for updates as the evening rolls on . . .


Complete coverage of Colorado's caucus:

Super Tuesday Colorado Caucus Results

Super Tuesday Predictions And Blog Roundup: Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John McCain, Mitt Romney

Colorado Caucus Open Thread; Update: Endorsing Mitt Romney

Colorado Caucus: Unaffiliated Vote Growing


Colorado Caucus: Colorado Conservative Bloggers Pick GOP Favorites For Super Tuesday

Colorado Caucus: Record Turnout Expected


Colorado Caucus: Denver Post, Rocky Mountain News Issue Caucus Policies For Journalists

Colorado Caucus: Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Ron Paul Answer Your Questions


Mitt Romney Visits Colorado In Advance Of Super Tuesday

Super Tuesday Colorado Caucus Party Registration Numbers


Colorado Buried In Avalanche Of Political Visits: Obama, Hillary, Romney, And Even Bush

Colorado Caucus Gains Importance; **Update: Super Tuesday

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February 05, 2008

Super Tuesday Predictions And Blog Roundup: Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John McCain, Mitt Romney

Around the blogosphere:

Michelle Malkin has an extensive, excellent roundup.

The Anchoress is keeping her vote private, and has a roundup as well.

Election Projection is doing, well, projections for both parties, as well as another roundup.

Real Clear Politics has a clear chart of the GOP delegate count and extensive columns, polls, and coverage of Super Tuesday.

Jay is serving up some links at Stop the ACLU.

Hot Air predictions
.

Gateway Pundit is covering today's events at his blog and at Pajamas Media.

Previous coverage:

Super Tuesday Colorado Caucus Results

Super Tuesday Predictions And Blog Roundup: Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John McCain, Mitt Romney

Colorado Caucus Open Thread; Update: Endorsing Mitt Romney

Colorado Caucus: Unaffiliated Vote Growing


Colorado Caucus: Colorado Conservative Bloggers Pick GOP Favorites For Super Tuesday

Colorado Caucus: Record Turnout Expected


Colorado Caucus: Denver Post, Rocky Mountain News Issue Caucus Policies For Journalists

Colorado Caucus: Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Ron Paul Answer Your Questions


Mitt Romney Visits Colorado In Advance Of Super Tuesday

Super Tuesday Colorado Caucus Party Registration Numbers


Colorado Buried In Avalanche Of Political Visits: Obama, Hillary, Romney, And Even Bush

Colorado Caucus Gains Importance; **Update: Super Tuesday

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Colorado Caucus Open Thread; Update: Endorsing Mitt Romney

Comments, predictions, links, and anything else caucus related--here's an open thread.

Ben DeGrow has a Super Tuesday post, and can't wait for some primary season resolution.

David Harsanyi sums up my sentiments succinctly:
Why do so many conservatives detest — and yes, "detest" is the most accurate word — John McCain?

Why are radio talk show hosts like Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, Laura Ingraham and Hugh Hewitt abandoning their customary stance on Republican unity by endorsing or supporting Mitt Romney?

Why would the right-wing queen of provocation, Ann Coulter, claim that she would rather campaign for Hillary Clinton than the longtime Republican senator from Arizona?

Why, many talking heads marvel, are conservatives ambushing their only real shot at a general election victory in November?

Well, just maybe, to conservatives, the principle is worth more than the victory.
This explanation squares with my own motto, the one that appears at the top of this blog:
"Supporting party above principle does a disservice to both"
Before registering as a Republican for the 2004 primary election, I had been an "unaffiliated" voter--though certainly not in the "independent" or "moderate" or flip-flopping fence-sitter mode. I was a conservative--fiscally, socially, in foreign policy and in temperament. None of these positions were in the absolutist, ideologue sense--a healthy blend of small-l libertarianism influenced all of my positions, creating the need to balance my views on personal morality and public policy. As these were not always coterminous, a certain tension existed--not one that drew me toward the mushy middle, but one that made it difficult to pigeonhole me ideologically. I'm sure many of you have had the same feelings.

Generally, the problems of this country could not and should not be solved primarily or even substantially by the government. Nanny-state totalitarians masquerading as government do-gooders and demagogues spouting economic populism while excoriating the "evil" business sector--these were the main adversaries, and sometimes even found a home in the GOP. This says nothing of the anti-American, pro-socialist moonbats on the left, or the tinfoil-hat wearing, black helicopter spying, conspiracy theorists.

Government, however, does have a role (and this is why I'm not a big-L Libertarian) in playing the third-party arbiter, law enforcement, and foreign policy roles. One of the failures in this area has been the inability and lack of will regarding enforcing immigration laws. Any regular reader here knows my position on illegal immigration.

McCain-Feingold and McCain-Kennedy violate both of these positions. I'm supposed to "take one for the party" and simply prostrate myself before the failure-turned-juggernaut John McCain campaign? His "bipartisanship" and "maverick" designations generally mean kicking any principled conservative position to the curb, all the while scolding those who dare to disagree.

None of these problems with McCain's policy positions denigrates his service in our military. A casual glance at this blog will disabuse anyone of the notion that I have nothing but respect for McCain on this aspect, and would certainly find him a strong defender of this nation in the foreign policy arena. But one's military service does not mean a default vote for a candidate, much as one's gender or race should not bring an automatic vote either.

Mike Huckabee presents a similar problem. His social conservatism is admirable, but tends toward the evangelical (I'm Catholic, there is some disconnect there). Huck's main shortcomings, in my view, stem from his willingness to view the government as the source of the correctives for any issue that comes before him. A strong dose of economic populism also does much to dissuade.

Ron Paul. Good on domestic policy, atrocious on foreign policy. While he himself may not be a nut, some of his followers are, and tend to be disaffected cranks and conspiracy moonbats. That he has not distanced himself or his campaign from their antics or their contributions doesn't speak well to him as a candidate.

Mitt Romney isn't perfect. He has been accused of "flip-flopping" on any number of core issues that conservatives find important. But at this point, and given the candidate pool that the GOP has been left with, Romney is the only candidate whose professed positions come closer to my own, without the accompanying ideological (Huckabee) or historical (McCain) baggage. We know how McCain would treat conservatives, and I'd rather not be roadkill for "maverick" John McCain.

That being said, I can't see myself pulling the lever for a Democrat or any third party option come November should McCain earn the nomination. An extremely reluctant vote for a Republican will (hopefully) help ensure that either Democrat--and the variance between positions is quite clear to all those who have been paying attention--will not be successful. It will also increase the likelihood that potential Supreme Court nominees--to my mind the most important spoils of victory as evidenced by the 2004 results--will remain at best strict constructionists and at worst, moderates. A Democrat victory will only bring moonbattery and leftist "living document" disaster to the highest court in the land.

However, my enthusiasm remains undaunted for state and local GOP candidates, especially for former Representative Bob Schaffer in Colorado's Senate race. We must not forget down-ticket ramifications and remain on the sidelines by sitting on our hands and refusing to vote. Just because we don't like the candidate--no candidate is perfect or even ideal--doesn't mean we should eschew our responsibility--our right--to vote. Don't like McCain? Great! Now get out there and pour your time and money into the other races at the state and local level, and work to prevent a Democrat-dominated Congressional delegation and Colorado legislature move no further to the left. We need to begin chipping away at their advantages now, and begin identifying prospects for challenging them in 2010. Disdain for McCain is no excuse for failing to support the GOP and conservative principles elsewhere.

Final point. The primary season is the time to air differences, argue positions, and strengthen resolve. Any criticism of McCain now will remain even if he ends up the GOP nominee. But I'd rather work to sway McCain back to conservatism (forcing the death of the McCain-Kennedy amnesty bill) than have to fight a Democrat President and likely House and Senate tooth-and-nail to stop the country from going into a tailspin.

Soapbox/endorsement off.

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Colorado Caucus: Unaffiliated Vote Growing

A few days ago I posted on the numbers of people who belong to the Republican and Democrat parties, and noted the large increase in the number of unaffiliated voters in Colorado, both newly registered voters who have yet to declare affiliations, and previously affiliated voters who have disenrolled due to enchantment with their party (or both, for that matter):



There are 2,890,852 voters in Colorado as of January 25, 2008:
1,011,152 Republicans--35.0%
880,761 Democrats--30.5%
998,939 Unaffiliated--34.6%
Yesterday, Colorado Public Radio featured some "unaffiliated" voters eager to gain some insight into their reasoning for remaining unaffiliated, or for leaving their current party (part 1). CPR then spoke to Colorado Republican Chairman Dick Wadhams and Democrat political consultant Mike Stratton on the challenges of campaigning for unaffiliated votes (part 2) in a state that has always featured a rather large "unaffiliated" bloc and that has also elected both Republicans and Democrats--in other words, a consistently "purple" state.

Given current trends, it is entirely conceivable that unaffiliated voters could outnumber members of both parties this year, especially if a great number of Republicans are disappointed in the eventual GOP Presidential nominee, and if current interest in the 2008 election encourages even more new voters who similarly disavow a partisan affiliation.

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Colorado Caucus: Colorado Conservative Bloggers Pick GOP Favorites For Super Tuesday

Poring over my fellow Colorado conservatives' blogs these past few weeks, I pulled together a rough list of their picks for the GOP nomination in no particular order (if you would like to add your endorsement to this list, leave a comment and link below):

The Daily Blogster--"Go Mitt!"

Clay Calhoun--"If the GWOT is the #1 issue, and I believe it is, then McCain is who I want leading the charge"

The New Conservative--Huckabee or McCain, anyone but that sleazy Romney

Best Destiny--"I will be enthusiastically caucusing for Mitt Romney on Tuesday night"

Ben DeGrow--Mitt for President

ThinkingRight--"Mitt Romney is the only clear conservative candidate"

The Drum and Cannon--"It is time for conservative Republicans to bury our differences and let our voices be heard, loud and clear. It is time to come together and support Mitt Romney for President of the United States"

Rossputin--"If John McCain is the GOP nominee, I'll vote Libertarian"

ClearCommentary--"There's much about McCain we don't like, but if he's our fate, let's sharpen him to a razor's edge and prepare for November"

The Colorado Index--(no official endorsement) "The conservatives who are always in search of the perfect conservative candidate with the threat that they will sit on their hands if he doesn't materialize have handed us Ken Salazar and Bill Ritter"

FWIW, here's how the SP GOP poll turned out:

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February 04, 2008

Colorado Caucus: Record Turnout Expected

Get there early to grab a seat (more info here, arrive by 6:30pm for 7:00pm start times):
Democrats and Republicans often have different takes on any given issue. However, on the eve of Super Tuesday, workers at the local headquarters of the respective parties were busy doing the same thing: answering phones.

"A lot of phone calls, a lot of e-mails, a lot of folks have never attended a precinct caucus," said Dick Wadhams, the head of Colorado's Republican Party.

"We actually put in nine new phone lines, there's not a line that's free," said Pat Waak, the head of Colorado's Democratic Party.

9NEWS political analyst Fred Brown says the buzz surrounding the caucus can be partly attributed to the fact that this year's caucus is being held earlier than in the past. Colorado traditionally took part in the process of selecting presidential nominees in March. By then, decisions on nominees were usually already made due to the previous caucuses and primaries. Brown says that made the Colorado caucus a moot point and a lackluster event.

"Now it's early enough in the process that Colorado could have an impact, along with all the other states of course. Everyone will be paying attention to California and New York, but Colorado is right there playing its part," said Brown.

Pollster Floyd Ciruli said caucuses typically attract less than 5 percent of registered partisan voters. Even with the poorly understood system this year, at least double the historic numbers of voters are expected, or more than 200,000 partisans.
CBS4 has a more detailed primeron Colorado's caucus for those who would like more detailed information, including a rough explanation of what will go down tomorrow night.

A flyover state no longer?
Last year the state legislature and the state parties agreed to move up the caucus date to Feb. 5. Other states did the same and now 24 states are participating in Super Tuesday.

"No one wants to be a flyover state, and Colorado was a flyover state," said House Majority Leader Alice Madden, D-Boulder. "People would pop in and do a fundraiser in Aspen. Now we have substantial debate in Denver and Broomfield and Boulder."

Democratic and Republican presidential candidates and their surrogates descended on Colorado last week and Monday to drum up caucus support, and Ciruli expects the visits to last throughout the campaign.

"We are going to be in play in November," he said.

That's because Colorado's unaffiliated voters - the second- largest voting block behind Republicans - help call the shots. Both parties will be trying to woo the unaffiliated and undecided voters, as well as proving they care about Western issues, Ciruli and Madden said.

"Every state matters, but in the long run the electoral votes in the West are going to help decide who is the next president of the United States and everybody knows that," Madden said.

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Super Tuesday Colorado Caucus Party Registration Numbers

**Update 3 (2-5-08, 4:55pm)--welcome Google users--here are the latest Super Tuesday Colorado caucus results and roundups (from most recent to older posts):

Super Tuesday Colorado Caucus Results

Super Tuesday Predictions And Blog Roundup: Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, John McCain, Mitt Romney

Colorado Caucus Open Thread; Update: Endorsing Mitt Romney

Colorado Caucus: Unaffiliated Vote Growing


Colorado Caucus: Colorado Conservative Bloggers Pick GOP Favorites For Super Tuesday

Colorado Caucus: Record Turnout Expected


Colorado Caucus: Denver Post, Rocky Mountain News Issue Caucus Policies For Journalists

Colorado Caucus: Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Ron Paul Answer Your Questions


Mitt Romney Visits Colorado In Advance Of Super Tuesday

Super Tuesday Colorado Caucus Party Registration Numbers


Colorado Buried In Avalanche Of Political Visits: Obama, Hillary, Romney, And Even Bush

Colorado Caucus Gains Importance; **Update: Super Tuesday

**Update 2 (2-5-08, 10:45am)--for the latest news/analysis/blognostications on Colorado's caucus
**Update--Colorado caucus info for both Democrats and Republicans

From the Secretary of State's Elections Center, a look at the party registration numbers, by month, from January 2004 to January 2008 (latest numbers as of January 25, 2008):


(Click to enlarge)

What stands out most prominently is the ascent in the number of those choosing to register as "unaffiliated". Both Republicans and Democrats have experienced shifts typical of election cycles, reflecting the rising interest and subsequent voter roll corrections and disenrollment following the 2004 and 2006 elections. It is the rapid increase in the ranks of "unaffiliated" voters between 2004 and 2006, followed by an even sharper rise through 2007 that could place non-partisan registrants into place as the largest single voting bloc in the state. There are 2,890,852 voters in Colorado as of January 25, 2008:
1,011,152 Republicans
880,761 Democrats
998,939 Unaffiliated
Colorado has a closed party caucus system, with only registered party members (as of last December) eligible to participate in their party's caucus Tuesday night, February 5. Given the sheer interest in the races on both sides and the inclusion of the state on "Super Tuesday", look for record turnout from both sides. Without the "unaffiliateds" influencing either vote, we should receive a clearer picture not only of who Coloradans would like to see as their party's respective candidate, but overall turnout may also be a surrogate for each party's interest level.

The most recent polling data on Colorado's likely GOP caucus attendees show voters here leaning toward Mitt Romney over John McCain 43-24 (Denver Post/Mason-Dixon):
Romney dominated the Nevada caucuses and has done well throughout the West, where Mormons are neighbors instead of a distant question mark, said Brad Coker of the polling firm Mason-Dixon. Coker's firm called 800 registered Colorado voters Jan. 21-23 and narrowed the responses down to those most likely to go to their party's caucuses.

The poll doesn't reflect the candidate preferences of independent voters, a key swing group on the rise in Colorado, and that's an important caveat in an election season featuring wide swerves in affinity.

Likely Republican caucus-goers tipped to Romney over Arizona Sen. McCain by 43 percent to 24 percent, with former Arkansas Gov. Huckabee at 17 percent. U.S. Rep. Ron Paul had 5 percent, while former New York Mayor Giuliani, a former front-runner who has been concentrating on Florida, was at 4 percent.

But those preferences veil big differences in the way Republicans see their party's field. They tend to vote based on the issues important to them, helping to explain the difficulty voters nationwide are having rallying behind one candidate. Republicans in Colorado clearly see Romney as best on immigration, McCain best on terrorism, and Huckabee best on values.
Using the category of "likely" caucus-goers raises the margin of error to a disappointing 9%, however, and the intervening McCain victory in Florida and subsequent major endorsements since this poll was taken might give him momentum going into next week.

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February 03, 2008

Colorado Caucus: Denver Post, Rocky Mountain News Issue Caucus Policies For Journalists

"If you think you will be compromised as a journalist or you want to write about candidates or politics down the road, I urge you not to caucus"--Denver Post editor Greg Moore

Given the public nature of caucusing, Rocky Mountain News honcho John Temple has effectively barred any of the paper's staff from attending Tuesday's caucuses:
Folks,

This is a reminder about our policy on political activity.

POLITICAL ACTIVITY

Journalists and others working in newsrooms must abide by a more restrictive standard (than non-journalist employees), given the disinterested neutrality from which news organizations must work. They must not serve in elected or politically appointed positions. They must not participate in political fund-raising, political organizing, nor other activities designed to enhance a candidate, a political party or a political-interest organization. They must not make contributions of record to political campaigns nor engage in other such activity that might associate an employer's name with a political candidate or a political cause.

Because caucuses are party activities that involve expressing your political position in public, you should not attend them, unless you’re covering them for the Rocky.

I would be happy to discuss.

John
Most journalists seem to fall into one of two categories--those who claim "disinterested neutrality" while pushing their agenda unabated, and those who simply push their agenda without paying any lip-service to the "objective" journalist position. These journalists believe that they are activists first and reporters second.

The Denver Post has a more "nuanced" caucus policy, but still restricts those in any department that may even remotely be responsible for coverage some aspect of the coming election cycle:
Colleagues:

With the Colorado caucuses approaching, there have been some questions from staff about participating.

This is a very difficult issue, so I want to offer the clearest guidance I can.

While attending a caucus could raise questions about your impartiality as a journalist, I realize it is a right to participate in our democratic process.

So, with certain exceptions, we will not prohibit folks from attending the caucuses.

Honestly, I would prefer you didn't. Caucuses are fundamentally different than primaries because of the public nature of the declaration in a caucus. A number of newspapers have barred all employees from participating in caucuses. I think that is defensible. But I wanted to find an alternative.

Anyone who might want to attend a caucus, please review the political involvement section of our ethics policy. And If you do attend, keep in mind that while exercising your right many may see you as representing The Post. Unfair as that may be, it is a fact. So be careful to conduct yourselves well in these small gatherings. A simple raising of the hand would seem adequate to me.

While some of you may participate in the caucuses, you will NOT be permitted to be a delegate to any county, state or national convention. I hope you recall that all vacations and leaves are cancelled as we ready ourselves to cover the Democratic National Convention. There will be no exceptions.

Barred from even participating in caucuses are all city, suburban, state and national political reporters and editors; those covering political races; the metro, business and TV columnists; anyone who leads a department or oversees a section; the team leaders and writers for the anchor team; all members of the breaking news team and online operations and all editors at the ME level and above.

These exceptions, as best I can determine, will address those with authority to influence coverage and play of stories and those most likely to write about partisan candidates and issues during this exciting political season.

I am trying my best to be sensitive to individual rights while at the same time protecting the credibility of the paper and our ability to continue to cover politics as best and as fair as possible.

If you think you will be compromised as a journalist or you want to write about candidates or politics down the road, I urge you not to caucus.

I believe we all understand that working for a newspaper requires sacrifices many others in the work world don't have to make.

Lastly, for anyone planning to caucus, please inform your department head or Gary Clark in advance. We need to know.

Thanks and I hope this helps.

Greg
While it is a reasonable assumption that most Denver reporters have a political opinion (and they are perfectly entitled to it), Westword reporter Michael Roberts rightly identifies what is at stake:
Given the caucus set-up, Posters who attend one party's caucus or another will be letting others there know at least something about their ideological predilections. For an organization that prizes objectivity, that's a problem -- one with which Moore and his peers must contend whether they like it or not.
And they probably won't like it one bit.

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February 02, 2008

Colorado Caucus: Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, Ron Paul Answer Your Questions

Presidential candidates Hillary Clinton, Mitt Romney, and Ron Paul answered questions on 9NEWS' Your Show.

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February 01, 2008

Mitt Romney Visits Colorado In Advance Of Super Tuesday

"Romney has the resume and executive experience to be not only an effective president, but a problem-solver in a world full of problems"--Denver Post endorsement, 2-1-08


Mitt Romney greets supporters following his speech at Freeway Ford in Denver


Part 1, introductions from Bob Beauprez and Sen. Wayne Allard


Part 2


Part 3

Denver Post--in a somewhat shocking development--endorsed Mitt Romney (read a transcript of the exchange between Mitt Romney and DP editorial board):
Arizona Sen. John McCain, now the frontrunner, is an American hero, a foreign-policy expert and a veteran of the Washington trenches. But with a volatile economy overtaking Iraq as a chief concern among voters, we believe that Mitt Romney is the best choice for Colorado Republicans.

As a governor of Massachusetts, a skilled businessman and the savior of the 2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City, Romney possesses the executive acumen necessary to
. . .
Washington Republicans have strayed far from the fiscal conservatism their party has traditionally championed. So while we applaud McCain's stand against wasteful spending, we're even more impressed with Romney's real-world experience in running lean budgets and bringing financial competency to companies.

We believe his economic growth plan — eliminating taxes on capital gains and interest and dividends for middle-class households — will help spur capital investment and the economy.
. . .
Romney has the resume and executive experience to be not only an effective president, but a problem-solver in a world full of problems.
Estimates of crowd size exceeded 1500. Video coverage from 9NEWS (part 1, part 2), CBS4 (video).

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January 31, 2008

Colorado Buried In Avalanche Of Political Visits: Obama, Hillary, Romney, And Even Bush

In no particular order:

Chelsea Clinton campaigned for her mother at CU-Boulder early Thursday, touting Hillary's "more visionary" (more costly and totalitarian?) platform. Oh, and for those still sitting on the fence, Chelsea says her mom bakes "killer" banana bread.

That doesn't seem to be enough for the 18000+ favoring Barack Obama, including those who attended Obama's rally yesterday at DU (video). Not much more than the usual "excitement" and "change" platitudes. Audio and transcript of Obama's speech:
It is time for a new generation of leadership because the old politics just won't do. I am running for president right now because I have met Americans all across this country that cannot afford to wait another day. They understand what Dr. King meant when he said that we had to recognize the "fierce urgency of now." That is why the real choice in this campaign is not between regions, or religions, or genders. It is not about rich versus poor, young versus old, it's certainly not about black versus white. It is about the past versus the future.
Obama--all talk, no substance. Beware candidates whose appeal is primarily emotional.

Mitt Romney will be in Thornton tomorrow:
The Republican presidential hopeful has scheduled a "Change Begins With Us" stop at Freeway Ford, 4471 East Evans Ave. The hourlong event starts at 2 p.m.
Ron Paul will be at the Colorado Convention Center from 6-8pm, you can just follow the Ronulans (the ones with the tinfoil hats).

President Bush, in a fundraising visit for Senate candidate Bob Schaffer, stopped to meet and praise Jeanne Assam, who brought to a halt the fatal shootings at Christian centers last December.

This will probably represent the high point of attention for Colorado's voters until after the conventions.

Now with the caucus just a few days away, here are some of the thoughts of other conservative bloggers:

Joshua Sharf:
When you've been running for President for over four years, if you run out of money, money wasn't your problem.
He has more on the coming smears of John McCain should he be the GOP nominee, and his inability to deal with an unfavorable press.

Ben DeGrow asks, "have too many conservatives in the party gone mad?"

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January 29, 2008

Colorado Caucus Gains Importance; **Update: Super Tuesday

**Updated and bumped to the top through Super Tuesday--scroll for caucus info**

<---Please take a moment to vote in SP's GOP poll, located to the left in the sidebar. Democrat caucus info/Republican caucus info

9NEWS has a short primer on caucus procedures for Democrats and Republicans


With the Super Duper Tsunami Tuesday Caucus/Primary Electionpalooza (or whatever the MSM is calling it) only 26 days away (thanks Ben for the reminder!), Colorado's relatively obscure caucus should garner not only record turnout with both parties lacking a clear frontrunner, but also increased attention from the candidates:
Colorado is bracing for possible record turnouts in the Feb. 5 presidential caucuses, as state voters get swept up in the country's election fever.

Massive turnouts at the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary indicate that voters want to play a pivotal role in the country's most open presidential seat in more than 50 years. And Colorado voters — on both sides of the aisle — are no different.
. . .
GOP and Democratic Party officials say they are expecting much higher participation at the caucuses than they have had in years. State GOP head Dick Wadhams said the intensity of the race was certain to bring out new attendees.

State Democrats have told their county precincts "to prepare for record turnout," said spokesman Matt Sugar, who noted that his party is involved in numerous caucus trainings.
. . .
Unlike Iowa and New Hampshire, Colorado does not have so-called open caucuses. Only those who registered as a Democrat or Republican by the first week in December can attend the caucuses. Unaffiliateds — the state's second-largest registered group — cannot show up and vote.

The state currently boasts just over 1 million Republicans, 994,575 unaffiliateds and 875,650 Democrats. Unaffiliateds have increased by about 50,000 since March, while Democrats went up about 25,000 and Republicans 12,000.

Colorado is one of more than 20 states taking part in what's known as Super Tuesday. The front-loaded nomination schedule has accelerated the process, which may potentially result in both parties producing a nominee by dawn on Feb. 6.

The country would then have a two-candidate race for nine months — a historical first.
Having a closed caucus will prevent unaffiliateds from skewing either party's selection--giving a clearer picture of what rank-and-file Colorado Democrats and Republicans view as their ideal candidate, while leaving pollsters and bloggers to speculate on just how the 2nd largest voting bloc in Colorado will break come November.

Ben DeGrow has a good roundup of Colorado caucus information
, including Jefferson and Douglas County GOP caucus gathering information and links. More from Colorado GOP Chairman Dick Wadhams.

Denver County GOP caucuses are arranged geographically, centered in the 9 State House districts that comprise the county:


District 1 - Kennedy High School
District 2 - Colorado Automobile Dealers Association offices
District 3 - Harvard Gulch Recreation Center, 550 East Iliff (Logan & Iliff)
District 4 - Lake Middle School
District 5 - Tivoli Auditorium, Auraria Campus
District 6 - Location 1: Windsor Gardens, 595 S. Clinton Street (Clinton & Alameda)
Location 2: Central Christian Church, 3690 Cherry Creek Drive South (Garfield & Cherry Creek Drive South)
District 7 - location TBD
District 8 - Park Hill Methodist Church, 5209 Montview Boulevard
District 9 - Hamilton Middle School, 8600 Dartmouth
DemNotes captures the excitement felt on the other side. Not every Democrat, however, knows which lever they will pull in the upcoming election:
Cory Madden, a student at the University of Denver, said part of his class is engaged in a youth voting project to get people involved in the presidential race.

He hasn't registered yet but plans to as a Democrat. However, he doesn't know which Democrat will get his vote.

"[Dude--ed.] I'm just not getting a huge political vibe yet," said Madden, 19, who is originally from Ohio.

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January 13, 2008

Slapstick Politics January Colorado GOP Poll Results

FWIW a few days ago in honor of the New Hampshire primary I posted a couple of online polls--here were the very unscientific but fun results--interpret them as you see fit:





Thankfully the Ronulans/Paulbots didn't stack the deck.

If there are a similar number of GOP candidates still left on Super Duper Caucuspalooza in a couple weeks, I'll run the polls again.

I've actually thought about doing a marketing-like survey on Colorado--like the ones for my MBA classes--drilling deeper than the usual Rasmussen/SurveyUSA/Zogby polls that like to do crosstabs and ask pretty simple questions. One can discern more from a question, rated on a 1-7 Likert scale, of intensity of feeling for a candidate than a simple, "who would you vote for" type question. Any thoughts?

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